This is the biggest game of the weekend in the Swedish Allsvenskan. It sees two potential title contenders meet at Sweden’s national stadium. Therefore we should see a really good crowd for what is the final domestic game for each side until July.
AIK come into the game as clear favourites and with home advantage will be targeting the win. They hold a one point and one place advantage on their opponents heading into this game but have played a game more. While they’ve yet to lose, they do still have ground to make up on early leaders Hammarby, who have been setting the pace so far.
AIK are aiming for their first Allsvenskan title since 2009 but they have been consistent challengers since then, finishing runners up on no fewer than four occasions, including the last two years. Norrkoping meanwhile are thirteen times champions of Sweden but they’ve only won the league twice since 1963 but like their opponents have been resurgent in recent years.
The stakes are certainly high here as both sides aim to land a blow on one of their rivals in a title race that looks quite open with defending champions Malmo struggling. However that’s not necessarily good news for those hoping to see an open game. Norrkoping will most likely see a point as a good result and will play quite cautiously and AIK are a side that can be frustrated in situations like that, which in part explains why they’ve drawn 5 of their 11 matches so far this season.
Their matches have been very low scoring with a huge 91% of AIK’s league outings this term producing under 2.5 goals. They have the best defensive record in the Swedish Allsvenskan with just 0.55 goals per game conceded. However they’ve not been totally convincing at the other end.
Besides AIK, no side has conceded as few goals as Norrkoping though so this game will see two pretty solid defences meet and there’s a danger they could cancel each other out. 75% of Norrkoping away games have seen under 2.5 goals scored so far this term in the Allsvenskan and this clearly is another strong candidate for a repeat.
Overall backing Under 2.5 Goals looks like the smart bet.
AIK held their nerve to win 1-0 away to leaders Hammarby last weekend and they will use that performance as their blueprint here. With a strong home record, backing a 1-0 AIK Win appeals in the Correct Score market.
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Norrkoping haven’t scored in any of their last 3 league games away against AIK, losing 2 of them. They’ve lost on their last 4 visits to play them (including friendlies).
AIK Solna goalkeeper Oscar Linner is back in the squad. Stefan Silva is a doubt.
Jon Gudni Fjouson is a doubt for Norrkoping. Marwan Bazi and Andreas Blomqvist are both still out.