By winning last time out, Alcorcon eased the pressure on themselves, though the job is far from complete. The hosts are just three points above the drop-zone, so they need to continue collecting points. Against an Almeria side that is also battling for survival, the visitors may just fancy themselves to secure what would be a crucial result.
Like the visitors, Almeria also find themselves in something of a sticky situation. The hosts were beaten last time out, which means that they’re now a single point above the relegation places. Prior to losing last Sunday, Lucas Alcaraz’s men had been performing with credit, so they ought to feel confident of bouncing back now facing relatively weak opposition on home soil.
They may have lost last time out, but too much shouldn’t be read into that result. What’s more Almeria have been performing well at home for some time. They’ve lost just three of their last 13 at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, all three of which have been against teams either in or challenging for the top six. Having won each of their last two at home, keeping a clean sheet in both, this is a massive opportunity for the hosts to regain the winning thread.
In truth, a repeat of their performance against Barcelona B or Granada would likely be more than enough to see of an Alcorcon side who struggle to wins on the road.
Not only do the visitors struggle to win games away from home, having won just 25% of their away matches this season, but they also find goals very, very hard to come by on their travels. Only five teams in the division have scored less than 16 goals notched by Alcorcon in their 20 away matches during the current campaign. Such forward woes don’t exactly bode well ahead of this match.
Given the visitors’ lack of goals on the road this season, Almeria are backed to resume the winning thread in front of their own fans. Backing ‘Almeria to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ is the best option at the prices.
With a home record that reads six wins, two draws and just one loss against teams currently in the bottom half Almeria have done well against the lesser teams at home this season, though they’ve rarely gone made in terms of goals scored. ‘Under 3.5 Goals’ has landed in all six of Almeria’s home wins against teams in the bottom half, while they’ve kept an impressive four clean sheets during that time. Keeping this in mind, the hosts are backed to get the better of their lacklustre visitors in routine fashion.
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Neither side has really thrived in this fixture of late. Alcorcon came out on top when the pair last met, winning by two goals to nil, though Almeria were successful before that. Interestingly, three of the last five renewals of this fixture have ended all-square.
Mandi is out for the hosts, as he has been since February, while both Fran Rodriguez and Gaspar Panadero are also expected to miss out.
The visitors are currently operating at close to full capacity. Only Borja Dominguez is expected to miss out on Sunday.