• Moreirense have lost only two of their last eight away assignments.
  • Boavista have lost five of their last seven home matches in the Primeira Liga.
  • Four of Boavista’s last six defeats have been by a single-goal margin. 

Form favours visitors Moreirense

Only one point separates Boavista and Moreirense in the Portuguese Primeira Liga standings but the formbook favours the visitors for the match at the Estadio do Bessa.

Prior to the football season hiatus, Moreirense were on a six-match unbeaten run in the Primeira Liga, beating Gil Vicente, Santa Clara and Maritimo as part of that run, which has given them an outside chance of making the top five this season.

They will need to improve on an away record which has seen them win only once on their travels this campaign but the poor form and home displays of Boavista should give them the confidence to land a rare win on the road.

Boavista have taken maximum points in only three of their 12 home league assignments this term, managing a paltry 11 league goals in their own backyard.

The break in the season came at a good time for the hosts, who were in free fall, having lost three of their last four league assignments and losing seven of their last 12 going back to early December.

Boavista’s strength lies in their defence

They are in fact one of the better defensive units in the division, with the likes of former Portugal international Ricardo Costa in their ranks, conceding only 23 goals in their 24 league games – meaning they have let in fewer than the likes of Braga and Sporting Lisbon.

Instead their main problem has been in front of goal. Boavista have failed to score in nine of their 24 league matches this season and, as a result, their home matches are featuring an average of only two goals per game.

As for Moreirense, they have been a more top-heavy side this season, scoring 34 goals but conceding 32 in their 24 league assignments. 

Top-heavy Moreirense can take maximum points

They have one of the division’s most prolific forwards in their ranks in Angolan international Fabio Abreu, who has bagged ten goals in this term’s Portuguese Primeira Liga.

Their attacking mentality has seen them find the net in each of their last nine matches, last failing to score in their first match of 2020 on 5 January.

Equally, both teams have scored in nine of Moreirense’s last ten matches, reiterating that their attacking focus tends to leave them open at the back but Boavista lack the front-line talents to capitalise.

Given recent form and Moreirense’s superior ability in the final third, it looks best to back an away win at a good price in this game. 

Three of Moreirense’s last five league success have been by a solitary goal and, given Boavista’s organisation at the back, any win will likely be by a slender margin. Therefore 1-0 looks the best correct score prediction as two sides on the fringes of the top five prepare to lock horns in Porto.

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