Last weekend’s win over Sevilla B was huge for Real Oviedo, who’re now just a single point off the top six. Just one win in their last ten on the road doesn’t bode well for the visitors, but they will surely fancy their chances against a Leonesa side that conceded three goals last time out. Regardless of how they go about it, Juan Antonio Anquela’s men need to win here or their hopes of reaching the play-offs will be dashed.
Unlike their visitors, Leonesa aren’t fighting for a place in the play-offs, but to stay in the division. Winning last time out was hugely positive, though the job is far from done as far as Rubén De la Barrera Fernández’s men are concerned. Only goal-difference is keeping them afloat, so three points is once again a must.
With this being a must-win fixture, the hosts will likely be pleased with the fact that they’ve done well on home soil of late. They’ve won two of their last three at Estadio Reino de León and are unbeaten during that time, though as has often been the case this season, they’ve not looked overly secure defensively during that spell.
Having conceded at least once in each of their last five at home, defensive issues are still present for the hosts, who’ve conceded the third highest number of goals on home soil in the league this season. What’s more, they’ve shipped quite a lot of goals at home against the better teams, conceding in all seven of their home games against top-eight sides, conceding 15 goals in total against such opposition.
With the above defensive record in mind, it’s very easy to see Oviedo, who’ve scored at least once in six of their last seven on the road, enjoying themselves offensively in this match. However, Leonesa can make their presence felt at the other end of the pitch. They’ve scored six in their last three at home, while they’ve also notched in five of their seven against top-eight teams at home this season.
What has been apparent against the top teams, who tend to come to Estadio Reino de León and have a go, is that Leonesa are willing to get forward and have a go, but they’re not capable of keeping things tight in such matches. As a result, ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ has landed in five of their seven home games against teams currently residing inside the top eight.
All in all, given the relative form of the hosts on their own patch, coupled with the fact that both teams have a reason to have a real go on Sunday, both ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ and ‘Both Teams to Score’ are worth a punt.
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Having won three of the last five renewals and having avoided defeat in each of their last seven against Leonesa, Real Oviedo have a strong recent record in this fixture. Earlier in the season, Oviedo won by three goals to nil.
Leonesa are likely to be without Victor Diaz on Sunday, while Ivan Garrido is out suspended. Aside from those two absentees, the hosts should be at full strength.
Other than Christian Fernandez, who is suspended, the visitors are operating at full capacity at present.