• Lech Poznan have scored two goals or more in five of their last seven home outings, securing a ‘win to nil’ in four of these.
  • Pogon have failed to score in four of their last seven contests in the league.
  • Pogon have lost in three of their last five Ekstraklasa outings.

Only one point separates Lech Poznan and Pogon Szczecin in the Polish Ekstraklasa going into this game, though this number doesn’t tell the whole story.

Of the two sides, it may only be Pogon who have won a game since the return of Poland’s top flight, but before that, they were without a win in six.

As for Lech Poznan, their 3-3 draw away to Zaglebie Lubin – a game which saw a massive three penalties taken – will also be taken as a positive following a 1-0 defeat to league leaders Legia Warsaw.

Notably, two late goals in that game could be the beginning of a resurgence for the hosts, who have scored the second-most goals (48) and hold the second-best goal difference (+19) in the league despite sitting fifth.

Pogon may be higher in the table but their goal difference cannot compete (+2) and it’s been in recent games where they’ve had trouble finding the back of the net.

Lech Poznan are a force to be reckoned with on their own turf and it’s hard to see a low-scoring Pogon being much of a match. A 2-0 scoreline looks like the best correct-score prediction here.

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