As they sit on 54 points, Lugo have done just about enough to keep themselves in the division. It’s not been a vintage season for the Galician team, though they’ll be pleased to have secured their safety before the end of the season, which means that they can now relax and enjoy this final fixture in front of their own fans.
Unlike the hosts, who ought to be nice and relaxed on Saturday evening, Almeria are still scrapping for their lives. As things stand, Rojiblancos are going down, though they can still save themselves. If Almeria win and any one of Cordoba, Albacete and Leonesa lose, which is indeed possible, Lucas Alcaraz’ men would remain in the division, so they ought to be feeling upbeat about their chances.
Lugo may have nothing to play for, though the lack of pressure has seen them play well of late. They did lose last time out, while the same can be said for their previous fixture, though facing Almeria will be far easier than facing the two teams who’re currently battling it out for the title. Defensively, the hosts still struggle to keep things ultra-tight, but they were scoring goals with regularity before they faced the top two in consecutive weeks.
In fact, in terms of scoring goals, Lugo have done very well when facing teams who currently reside in the bottom half. After failing to score in their very first home match of the season against Reus, Lugo have since scored in 100% (played eight) of their matches against teams in the bottom half. However, despite thriving offensively against such teams, they’ve not been too tight defensively in recent times, as they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five against bottom-half clubs. This is a stat that will fill the visitors with confidence.
Unlike the hosts, Almeria haven’t really thrived from a goal-scoring point at any point this season, though they must fancy themselves to make some offensive headway in this fixture. The hosts are without a clean sheet in three, while they’ve now shut their opponents out in just two of their last ten matches overall. What’s more, it is the visitors who have the extra motivation. Against a Lugo side that is done and dusted for the season, Almeria must back themselves.
With the visitors likely to throw everything they’ve got at this one, against a team who’ve got nothing to play for and who’re not great at the back anyway, they’re fancied to score. Though, in what may turn out to be an open game, the hosts, who’ve scored in each of their last eight home matches against bottom-half teams, can also get on the score-sheet.
Looking for Accumulator tips? See what our experts are tipping today and follow the smart money.
Almeria have won each of the last two renewals of this fixture, winning by a goal to nil earlier in the campaign. However, Lugo were unbeaten in three, two of which they won, prior to that.
Lugo will continue to be without a couple of players on Saturday. Edu Campabadal is out through injury, while Mario Barco is injured. Jose Carlos Ramirez will continue to serve his suspension.
Almeria will also have a few players missing at Estadio Anxo Carro. Mandi is out, while both Fran Rodriguez and Gaspar Panadero are sidelined through injury.