• There have been only two goals scored across the last three league meetings with this season’s previous clash finishing 0-0
  • Maritimo have lost only four of their 12 home league games this term, with them keeping clean sheets in three of their last five
  • Just three of Maritimo’s last 12 matches have rewarded over 2.5 goal backers

Maritimo poised for winning return

Maritimo still have some work to do to secure their Primeira Liga status but victory over Vitoria Setubal would move them one step closer to survival.

Maritimo return to action on 15th, eight points above the drop zone, and have lost three consecutive league matches. However, The Lions of Almirante Reis have lost only four of their 12 home games this season which includes holding headline acts Porto and Sporting to 1-1 draws.

Jose Gomes’s men have actually suffered defeat in only two of their last ten league matches on home soil and clean sheets in three of their last five – including in wins over Boavista and Pacos De Ferreira – highlight their defensive resoluteness. Maritimo have scored 16 of their 22 league goals on their own patch, failing to score in only one of their 12 contests, and fully warrant favouritism here.

Toothless Vitoria face a tough task

Vitoria Setubal are four points better off than hosts Maritimo but are without a win in six and are not reliable in front of goal. With only 17 goals scored – Brazilian midfielder Carlinhos is their leading scorer with three – there is a lack of cutting edge at draw-specialists Vitoria who would be more than happy to take another point here.

The visitors have shared the spoils on ten occasions this term, but having failed to score in six of their 12 away games may need some fortune along the way to bolster that tally. Vitoria’s latest away game saw them held to a goalless draw at relegation-threatened Portimonense, who have won just twice all season, and this assignment looks far more daunting.

Goals hard to come by

These sides played out a goalless draw in Setubal earlier in the season and the rematch promises to be another low-scoring affair. Only second-bottom Portimonense have netted fewer than Vitoria Setubal (17) this season, with only 33 per cent (16) of their 24 league games featuring three or more goals.

Vitoria have failed to score in six of their 12 away assignments and with the net bulging at both ends in just four of those contests, we are expecting another game to be settled by fine margins.

Only three of Maritimo’s last 12 matches have rewarded over 2.5 goal backers and there have been just two goals scored across the last three league meetings. This has the makings of a tight, low-scoring match and a narrow 1-0 win for the home side looks the play.

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