New York City have a lot of work to do after their late collapse last weekend. They held their own against Toronto FC for the majority of the match, but the final six minutes brought two Toronto FC goals to give them a mountain to climb in this home leg.
This made it three wins, one draw, and three defeats in their last seven outings in the MLS, but at home it’s a different story. They have won seven of their last eight home games and lost none, and their free scoring ways will give the Yankee Stadium faithful plenty to be hopeful about.
During this time they have scored 24 goals, winning four of them by at least a two goal margin. Plenty of this success has come thanks to star striker David Villa. The ex-Barcelona forward has netted 23 times in the MLS this season, with 13 of those coming in his 16 home appearances. This includes four in his last four at the Yankee Stadium, so odds of 10/11 for him to score anytime look decent value for money.
Toronto FC have their own star man in Sebastian Giovinco. The Italian striker has 18 league goals and a huge 14 assists in his 30 appearances, and seven of these goals have come away from home. He’s not in the best of form at the moment, but Jozy Altidore is. He has scored in each of his last four away days and netted against New York City last weekend, so odds of 7/4 for him to get on the score-sheet are very good value, especially since the hosts have conceded in six of their last eight at home.
The visitors are in very good form away from home as well, with their last five matches resulting in three wins and two draws. Prior to that they had been in awful form on the road, but even then they were finding it fairly easy to find the net. Both teams have scored in each of their last nine away days.
This match has goals written all over it. Six of New York City’s last eight home games have seen at least three goals scored, with all of those high scoring games ending with both teams on the score-sheet. Toronto FC have had both teams find the net in each of their last nine trips away as well, with seven of them being high scoring affairs. This makes odds of 5/6 for Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score look like the best bet going, so I’m backing that. I think Toronto FC will make it through with a 2-2 draw as well, so I’m backing that as my correct score prediction.
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New York City have won two, drawn three, and lost one of their six meetings with Toronto FC.
New York City have seen Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score come in in 75% of their last eight home games, whilst Toronto FC have in 78% of their last nine on the road.
Right back Shannon Gomez and midfielder Connor Brandt are injured for the hosts.
Left back Ashtone Morgan and midfielder Jay Chapman are out injured for Toronto FC.