• Paderborn are winless in 11 games, losing six of their last seven at home
  • Both teams have scored in 13 of Paderborn’s 15 home league games
  • Werder Bremen have collected 19 of their 25 points on the road, winning each of their last two away games by a single goal

Paderborn look destined for the drop

This is a game Paderborn simply can’t afford to lose. With four games remaining, Steffen Baumgart’s side are eight points adrift of Fortuna Dusseldorf in the relegation playoff place and defeat would see them all but down.

Paderborn have picked up only 20 points from 30 games this season and are without a win in 11 following last weekend’s 1-1 draw at Leipzig.

A point at Leipzig can be seen as a positive result but they were thumped 6-1 at home to Borussia Dortmund prior to that and have claimed only one point in their last six league games on their own patch.

In fact, Paderborn have lost 11 of their 15 home league contests, with Cologne (12th), Augsburg (13th) and Mainz (15th) all escaping the Benteler Arena with maximum points.

Paderborn were 1-0 winners at Bremen earlier in this season but the visitors are far more efficient on their travels and have improved markedly since May’s return to action.

Bremen can enhance their survival claims

Werder Bremen are only five points better off than basement boys Paderborn and with a home clash with Bayern Munich to follow, this is also a must-win contest for them.

Bremen have suffered back-to-back league defeats at home to Eintracht Frankfurt (3-0) and Wolfsburg (1-0) but they had kept three consecutive clean sheets prior to that and were shaping like a much improved outfit.

The River Islanders had recorded 1-0 wins at Freiburg and Schalke, while holding Borussia Monchengladbach to a goalless draw, and are perhaps not as bad as their lowly league position implies.

Florian Kohfeldt’s crew have been at their most productive on the road, collecting 19 of their 25 points away from home, and know the importance surrounding this fixture.

This looks sure to be tight but Bremen, with the added quality of Davy Klaasen, Leonardo Bittencourt and Milot Rashica, make far more appeal than the struggling hosts.

Paderborn are lively in attack

Both teams have scored in 13 of Paderborn’s 15 home league games and we are predicting this crunch clash to follow suit. Given the importance of this fixture to both, an early goal would soon see things open up.

Paderborn have failed to score in only one of their 15 home outings this season, so evidently carry an attacking threat, but defensively are suspect with 38 goals conceded – an average of 2.53 goals per match.

Werder Bremen have won their last two away games, both by a one-goal margin, while two of Paderborn’s last three home defeats have been by a 2-1 scoreline.

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