As their promotion is secured, it’s now safe to say that Vallecano have enjoyed an excellent campaign. At the second time of asking, the team from the Madrid suburbs have booked their return to Spain’s top division, where they will face several city rivals such as Getafe, Atletico Madrid and of course the Galácticos of Real Madrid. However, their work in the Segunda is not yet done. They may be promoted but there is still the small matter of the title to decide. Míchel’s men need to win here to keep the race alive ahead of the final weekend.
While their hosts are fighting to win the title, Lugo’s season is petering out. Marooned mid-table, Francisco’s men can now relax as they having nothing left to play for. A lack of pressure could see them thrive, though doing well against a menacing Vallecano side when motivation may be hard to come by will be no easy task.
Having suffered a heavy loss on the road last time out, Vallecano will surely be keen to get back to winning ways in front of their own fans. If the form shown by Michel’s men at home this season is anything to by, then they should be up to really getting at a Lugo side that has struggled to keep teams at bay on the road in recent times.
The visitors are without a win on the road in eight, while they’ve failed to keep a clean sheet during that time, conceding more than once on four occasions. What’s more, Lugo have really felt the pinch defensively when facing the top teams on the road. Francisco’s men have conceded at least twice away against the likes of Real Oviedo, Numancia, Zaragoza, Huesca and Gijon. With this in mind, it would be absolutely no surprise if they came up short against a Vallecano team who’ve scored more home goals than all but one team in Spain’s second division this season.
As touched on above, Vallecano, who’ve scored an average of two goals per home match during the current campaign, have been somewhat prolific at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas this season. The hosts come here having scored ten in their last five at home, while they’ve scored more than once in eight of their last ten in front of a home crowd.
From a creativity point of view, when playing at home, Vallecano have been just about as good as the Segunda has had to offer this season. With a striker such as Raúl de Tomás, who has no less than 24 league goals to his name during the current campaign, in their ranks, they’re certainly not short of end-product.
However, given their overall attacking style, the hosts often given teams a chance at the back, as the fact that they’ve conceded at least once in each of their last five suggests. They’ve also been breached at least once in eight of their last ten on home soil.
All in all, against a Lugo side who’ve tended to struggle defensively against the better attacking teams, the high-scoring Vallecano are backed to come out on top, though they rarely do so in the simplest of ways, so combining ‘Both Teams to Score’ with a home win is the way to go.
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Having won each of the last two renewals of this fixture, winning by two goals to one earlier in the season, Vallecano have dominated against Lugo in recent times, though they were without a win in four against them prior to that. Sunday’s hosts have never lost at home against Lugo.
At present, Vallecano are operating at full capacity. Michel is expected to continue picking a full side as the hosts look to keep the title race alive.
The injuries have started to build up for the visitors in recent times. Edu Campabadal, Mario Barco, Francisco Fydriszewski and Sergio Diaz are all out.