• Real Madrid conceded at least once in three of their last five home matches.
  • Valencia scored in 25 of their 28 La Liga games this season.
  • Both teams scored in 69% of Valencia’s away games this term.
  • Both teams found the net in each of the last three meetings between these clubs.

Real still producing the goods at home

Even though they were competing in the unusual surroundings of the Alfredo Di Stéfano Stadium at their training ground, Real Madrid looked comfortably at home in their 3-1 win over Eibar on Sunday.

First-half goals from Toni Kroos, Sergio Ramos and Marcelo established a healthy cushion for Los Blancos before the interval, allowing Zinedine Zidane’s side to engage cruise control for the second 45 and keep their pursuit of Barcelona at the summit of the table on track.

The victory was Real’s 10th home triumph on the spin in 14 La Liga assignments this season, and only their league-leading Catalan rivals have amassed more points on their own patch overall this term.

Remarkably, Real scored their three goals from just six attempts in total against Eibar, while the visitors were able to rack up nine attempts in response – figures that suggest there should be chances on offer to a much stronger Valencia team on Thursday.

Valencia rarely fail to score

Los Che were held to a disappointing 1-1 draw at home to local rivals Levante in their first match back – a result that put a dent in their quest for a top four finish, though Valencia did at least manage to extend their excellent goal-scoring record this term.

Valencia scored in an impressive 25 of their 28 La Lia fixtures so far this season, and failed to register just five times in 40 competitive fixtures overall since August.

Having watched Real concede in three of their last five home games, the 7th placed Los Murcelagos will back themselves to score on Thursday – though any goal they do plunder will likely be a consolation effort.

Both teams likely to register

With Real Madrid unbeaten at home and huge favourites to win, the match result market holds little value this week, though the aforementioned factors combine to make backing both teams to score a viable option at the prices quoted.

Our correct score prediction also takes that into account, and we’re tipping the hosts to emerge as 2-1 victors. While Real’s record of 10 wins and four draws from 14 La Liga home fixtures is a superb return, their goal-scoring output has been notably modest.

Los Blancos scored two or fewer goals in seven of their last nine games in the capital, and having bagged exactly two goals in six of their last seven home meetings with Valencia, we’re tipping them to notch two more this week.


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