• Sporting have won eight of their 12 home games this season.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in half of Sporting’s home games.
  • Pacos Ferreira have failed to score in half of their away games.
  • Sporting have kept clean sheets in 42% of their home games.

Sporting play their best football at home

Sporting drew their first game back away at Vitoria Guimaraes 2-2 thanks to a brace from Slovenian striker Sporar, while Pacos Ferreira won a rare away game against Rio Ave 3-2, with goals from Amaral, Tanque and Santos, despite having full-back Teles sent-off in first-half stoppage time.

18pts still separate these two clubs in the Primeira Liga table and if history is anything to go by, then Sporting are likely to increase that gap on Friday. The hosts have won their last seven games against Pacos Ferreira and last lost against this particular opponent way back in 2013.

Pacos Ferreira have struggled on the road

Sporting head into Friday’s clash as the slight form favourites with three wins, one draw and two defeats from their last six matches in all competitions, but Pacos Ferreira aren’t far behind with three wins and three defeats during that same period. We’re predicting a narrow win for Sporting as the hosts have a good record of wins at home, eight from a possible 12, and a decent defensive record that consists of just 12 goals conceded and five clean sheets.

Sporting’s top goalscorer remains Bruno Fernandes despite the Portuguese international now plying his trade with Manchester United and we believe the talisman will be sorely missed for the rest of the campaign. However, the hosts should be able to secure a win this weekend even without Fernandes as their guests have failed to score in half of their away games this season, netting just 11 goals on the road so far.

The visitors don’t carry much of a goal threat

Brazilian Douglas Tanque top scores for the visitors this season with six goals in 21 appearances but the striker has never made it to double figures before and the Sporting defence should be able to handle him, especially if he plays up-front on his own. Half of Sporting’s home games and half of the visitors’ away trips have produced under 2.5 goals this season and we’re backing another low-scoring 90-minutes on Friday but predict that Sporting will win with under 2.5 goals being scored and have backed a final scoreline of 1-0.

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