• Stuttgart won seven of their last eight home matches.
  • Those games averaged 3.25 goals per 90 minutes.
  • Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score landed in four of Osnabruck’s last six fixtures.
  • Osnabruck won just one of their last 12 league games.

Stuttgart rediscover winning habit

2nd placed Stuttgart kept their automatic promotion charge on track on Sunday with a hard-fought 2-0 triumph at Dynamo Dresden – a win that was their second on the spin after their dramatic 3-2 triumph over rivals Hamburg just days before.

Coach Thomas Hitzlsperger would have been relieved to have watched his team restraighten their path over the past week following their two-match wobble after the restart, and a home game against Osnabruck will be seen as a huge opportunity to complete a hattrick of successive victories.

Having taken 34 points from the 42 on offer at the Mercedes-Benz-Arena since August, Stuttgart hold the 2. Bundesliga’s best home record this season, and games at that venue over the past 10 months have generally been exciting affairs.

Over 2.5 goals rattled the net in 71% of Stuttgart’s league fixtures on their own patch overall since the 2019/20 season began, while their last eight games there, of which they won seven, averaged 3.25 goals per 90 minutes.

On Sunday, Stuttgart will be aiming to flex their considerable muscle again when they host an Osnabruck outfit that have won just one of their last 12 league games.

Osnabruck plummeting towards the bottom three

Die Lila-Weiß have been moving towards the division’s danger zone at an alarming pace since the turn of the year, and with just four points between them and the relegation play-off position, the need for an upswing in performances is stark.

However, having conceded 16 times in their last six matches alone, their defensive displays seem to be regressing as quickly as their results, and we think Stuttgart can take advantage.

Goals expected

It’s worth noting that Osnabruck have at least, managed to carry an attacking threat right through their lengthy run of poor form, and somewhat remarkably, Daniel Thioune’s charges scored at least once in 16 of their last 18 assignments.

A consolation effort should be on offer for Osnabruck again at the Mercedes-Benz-Arena, though we expect the host’s superior firepower to eventually tell. With those factors considered, the over 2.5 goals and both teams to score combination is worth backing for Sunday’s game, while our correct score prediction points to a 3-1 home win.

Stuttgart hit the net three times in six of their last eight games on home turf, and can notch the same total again against an ailing Osnabruck.

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