• Sporting have won only two of their last seven away games
  • Sporting have been level at half-time in 13 of their 24 league games
  • Both teams have scored in just two of Vitoria Guimaraes’ last nine home league matches

Vitoria can utilise home advantage

Vitoria Guimaraes were successful in four of their final five games before lockdown restrictions came into place, keeping clean sheets on three occasions, and should fancy their chances of making a winning return at home to Sporting.

Vitoria trail fourth-placed Sporting by five points in the Primeira Liga standings but a victory here would put them back in the race for Europa League qualification and there’s a strong chance they can do just that. Vitoria have lost only four of their 12 home games this term and those defeats came against Porto, Benfica, Braga and Rio Ave – four teams above them in the table.

However, three of those reverses were by just a single goal and on each occasion they had more than their fair share of shots and possession. Vitoria have highlighted their quality at home on a number of occasions this term – they have conceded just 10-goals in 12 outings – and look good value on the draw no bet market.

Sporting’s struggles away to continue

Sporting’s declining performances coincided with January’s deadline day departure of top scorer Bruno Fernandes to Manchester United and there is no doubting that they are weaker without their Portuguese talisman.

Sporting have failed to win any of their three league assignments since Fernandes left, losing on trips to Braga and Famalicao whilst only managing a 1-1 draw at Rio Ave. The visitors have also been stuffed 4-1 in the Europa League at Istanbul Basaksehir in that time, so confidence is bound to be low.

The Lions had lost just twice in ten away games prior to that and with only two clean sheets in 12 road trips, must be fearing the worst at a Vitoria Guimaraes outfit who have made steady improvement over the last few seasons.

Narrow home win makes appeal

Vitoria Guimaraes won this corresponding home fixture 1-0 last season and another low-margin victory over Sporting could be well within reach.

Both teams have scored in just two of Vitoria Guimaraes’ last nine home league matches and they remain defensively resolute having kept clean sheets in five of their six wins at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Only three sides in the top-half have scored fewer than Sporting this term (37 goals in 24 games) and with Fernandes, who had topped their league scoring ranks with eight goals, gone the visitors are shorter on firepower than was previously the case.

Vitoria Guimaraes have scored exactly once in six of their 12 home games this term and could edge this contest 1-0.

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